Democracy In the Middle East
Over the next 6 to 18 months we will witness a conflagration of sorts: Democracy will spread throughout the Middle East as a pace very few can now appreciate; with the encouragement of the US, dissidents will upset primitive, brutal, autocratic and theocratic regimes and replace these with a new beginning - the foundations for a responsive government.
Realists have maintained that the Mid East is the least hospitable place in the world for a democracy. They are mistaken. Arab countries have aped western ideas but sought to implement these through state power - failed capitalist dictatorships. The inevitable decay and failure, the brutality of rule have together bred a growing sub-surface counterculture of resistance. It is this reservoir of energy, before constrained or crushed by ruling thugs, that now will be married to an enlightened US policy, ultimately transforming the region. Ans so now we are witnessing the beginning of the end for the old order.
The Administration’s formula is a simple one. It begins with the truth that all men and women will chose self determination over a directed and compulsory existence. Next is the fact that the spread of consensual government is in the direct interest of the US. A free society is not a threat to its neighbors. Trade and enhancement of wealth are only enhanced.
Finally, the US will promote democracy in nondemocratic regimes by linking our foreign policy, our money, expertise and markets to internal reform - how these societies treat their own. All the countries in the Mid East are dependent on the West. We have the leverage. Given the base of internal dissent a regime need only give a little, say in the election process in exchange for US trade preference, and the fissure provided will quickly open to unleash a torrent.
Thank you.
2 Comments:
looking forward to this!
Abby: The dissident within Egypt may be a group or groups for years persicuted under Mubarek's rule; within Iraq, a business woman never allowed to claim her dream (and enrich others in the process); the dissident may be a Saudi Christian never allowed to celebrate her faith. None of these need love the US; what matters is that they come to understand through example that only democracy can give each and all a fair chance. Bob
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